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Google Shipped a Model That Writes Nothing

Google's Gemini Decision 1 answers up to 1,000 closed questions about one input in a single call and bills zero output tokens. Gemini 4 Hydrogen, released a day later, charges $1.50 per million input tokens and $7.50 per million output. For any job whose answer is a label, we think a typed verdict is the cheaper path. We walk through the costs, the failure modes and a weekend calibration build.

By the Koda editorial team · · 6 min read

Google just shipped a model that writes nothing. Gemini Decision 1, released November 11, 2026,1 answers up to 1,000 closed questions about one input in a single request. Google's model page says it returns probabilities and bills zero output tokens. Google charges $0.10 per million input tokens for it.

One day later, Google's changelog put Gemini 4 Hydrogen on general release. Hydrogen costs $1.50 per million input tokens and $7.50 per million output tokens1, so output costs 5x input. Decision 1 removes the expensive half of the bill for any job whose answer is a label.

We have not found an independent test of Decision 1 yet. DataCamp reports that Google claims the lowest calibration error in its own comparison, ahead of TypeSafe's Jev. We could not find published scores behind that claim. What can be checked today is the price and the shape of the output.

The verdict layer under production AI

Most production AI work ends in a decision. A ticket goes to a queue. A claim gets flagged for review. Teams have usually reached those decisions by asking a chat model for a paragraph, then parsing one word out of it.

What a typed verdict costs and where it stopsGoogle · DATACAMP · THE DECODER
Decision 1 input price1Google · per million tokens, zero output billed$0.10
Hydrogen output price1Google · per million output tokens$7.50
Questions per request1Google · closed questions on one input1,000
Yes/no probability ceiling1Google · range runs 0.01 to 0.990.99

The verdict layer is the part of a pipeline that turns evidence into typed answers software can act on. Google is reportedly at least the fourth vendor selling it as a product. VentureBeat reports that TypeSafe's early-access Jev offers a cheaper way to make AI decisions, OpenAI's Decisions API runs on GPT-6 Luna and Amazon's Strands Decider lets developers host the model themselves.

Google's documentation breaks the layer into parts, and any job can be sorted into them. First comes the evidence: one shared input that can mix text and images. Together with all the questions, it can total up to 262,144 tokens1. The questions come in fixed types. A yes/no question returns a probability between 0.01 and 0.99 plus a confidence score.

A single-select question weighs 2 to 255 options and returns the top pick with a probability for each2. A rubric question rates 2 to 255 ordered levels and returns a probability-weighted expected score1. The last part is the threshold that turns a probability into an action. Google returns the numbers. Deciding what 0.82 means is your job.

How typed answers replace the parser

Picture a dock inspector with a clipboard of checkboxes. Every pallet gets the same list, and every tick comes with a note on how sure the inspector is. That's Decision 1. It reads the evidence once and ticks every box you hand it.

Google's quickstart runs it on one customer message: "The blue mug I ordered on Monday arrived cracked on Wednesday." One call asks two questions. A yes/no asks whether the item arrived damaged. A choice question asks which support queue should take it.

According to DataCamp, Google reports 150 to 250 milliseconds end to end3. That's fast enough to sit inside a live chat.

The old flow has four steps. Step one, send the message to a chat model. Step two, the model writes a paragraph. Step three, a parser hunts that paragraph for "damaged" and a queue name, and step four acts on what it finds.

Step three is where builds break. The model writes "this may possibly indicate damage" and the parser comes back empty. The verdict flow skips that step entirely. Evidence and typed questions go in. A probability and a queue name come out, ready for your code to check.

Say you triage 10,000 tickets a day at 500 tokens each. That is 5 million input tokens, or $0.50 a day on Decision 1 at Google's price. The same tickets through Hydrogen, with a 200-token answer each, cost 5 × $1.50 for input1, or $7.50. Output adds 2 million tokens at $7.50 per million, another $15.

That is $22.50 a day against $0.50, a 45x gap. And our scenario ignores Hydrogen's thinking tokens and the length of your question text. Hydrogen is a far more capable generalist. The fair question is whether this job needs its words at all.

The 1,000-question1 limit is the second lever. Send twenty policy checks as twenty separate calls and each ticket gets read twenty times, or 100 million tokens a day. Batch them into one call and each ticket is read once, for 5 million tokens. On Decision 1, that is $10 a day against $0.50.

Thresholds are where the verdict becomes a workflow. A simple rule: auto-route above 0.95, send 0.70 to 0.95 to a person, and ask the customer for a photo below 0.70. Watch the ceiling, though. Google caps yes/no probabilities at 0.99,1 so a cutoff at 0.98 leaves almost no room.

Two failures deserve a test before launch. First, one misread input skews every answer at once. If the model gets the order date wrong, all 1,000 verdicts lean the same wrong way1.

Second, calibration. A calibrated model that says 0.90 is right about 90% of the time on cases like yours. Google says Decision 1 is calibrated. Whether that holds on your tickets and your customers' languages is unclear. We think teams should treat the probability field as a claim to measure before trusting it.

Will verdicts outrun prose by 2028?

Google built this for itself first. The Decoder reports Google already uses the Decisions API for model routing in Gemini Notebook, design prototyping in Stitch and safety checks in Google Search. Routing is the telling one. Every agent step that asks a big model "which tool next?" pays generation prices for a one-word answer.

Say each agent task makes 10 routing calls with 1,000 tokens of context, and you run a million tasks a month. That is 10 billion tokens, or $1,000 a month on Decision 1. At Hydrogen's input price alone, the same reads cost $15,000 before a single output token.

Pricing points the same direction. The Decoder reports that Google puts Decision 1 at about five times cheaper than Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite. If routing and policy checks move to verdict models, the generator becomes the last call in the chain, running only when a person needs to read words.

The risk is lopsided. A verdict on a 500-token ticket costs $0.00005, while a wrong claim denial can lose a customer and draw a regulator's attention. MIT Sloan Management Review warns that as AI output grows, people get pushed out of decisions. Cheap, fast verdicts make that drift easier to miss.

We think routing and triage move first, because those calls are reversible and cheap to audit. Hiring and credit decisions are another matter. There, a clean score can make a biased rubric look objective. No vendor has published adoption numbers, so it is unclear whether teams will move these calls by 2028 or hang on to their chat-model parsers.

Rebuild one triage step as typed verdicts

Pick one place in your stack where a chat model writes text and a parser pulls out a label. Ticket triage is the easiest place to start. The goal is one working verdict call and a calibration sheet you rerun every week.

Step one: pull 200 past tickets where you already know the right queue and whether a refund was due. Those known answers are your answer key. At 500 tokens each, the whole set is 100,000 tokens, about one cent on Decision 1.

Step two: write your questions as typed questions in Google's Decisions API. Make "Is this a refund request?" a yes/no question. Make "Which queue?" a single-select with your real queue names. Keep each instruction to one sentence, the way Google's mug example does.

Step three: run all 200 tickets and log ticket ID, question version, probability, confidence and the correct answer. A spreadsheet is enough.

Step four: check calibration. Group the yes/no answers by probability band, starting with 0.90 and up, then count how often each band was right. If the 0.90 band is right only 75% of the time, raise your thresholds.

Step five: set your bands, then try to break them. Feed it a blurry photo and a sarcastic message, and watch whether confidence drops. If confidence stays high on bad input, route that ticket type to a person.

Step six: rerun the same 200 tickets every Monday. When the 0.90 band drifts, the sheet shows it before your customers do.

Practise it step by step: Design an AI-Assisted Workflow

The bottom line

Most production AI ends in a decision, so price and test it as a decision.

Decision 1 makes typed verdicts cheap and fast, and that shifts the hard work to thresholds and calibration. The probability field is a vendor claim until your own answer key confirms it. We would start with reversible calls like triage and routing, where mistakes are easy to audit. Keep hiring, credit and claim denials under human review until the numbers on your data hold up week after week.

LISTEN · AUDIO BRIEFINGThe conversation · ~16 min
WATCH · VISUAL NARRATIVEAnimated breakdown · ~6 min
PLAY · YOUTUBE

Sources

Numbers in the text point here. Verified means we confirmed it against the source; Reported means the source states it and we could not confirm it independently.

  1. 1blog.google · Google released Gemini Decision 1 on November 11, 20268 verified, 4 reported
  2. 2talkingfingers.net · A Gemini Decision 1 single-select question weighs 2 to 255 options and returns the top pick with a probability for each...Verified
  3. 3datacamp.com · DataCamp says that Google reports 150 to 250 milliseconds end to end.Reported

How this piece was checked

Before publishing we pulled 38 claims out of the draft and checked each one against live sources: 12 verified, 11 reported by a named source, 1 found wrong and corrected in the copy and 14 our own calculations.

See all 38 claims
  1. 01Google released Gemini Decision 1 on November 11, 2026blog.googleVerified
  2. 02Google's changelog put Gemini 4 Hydrogen on general release on November 12, 2026, one day after Gemini Decision 1 was releasedblog.googleVerified
  3. 03Gemini Decision 1 answers up to 1,000 closed questions about one input in a single requestblog.googleVerified
  4. 04Google's model page says Gemini Decision 1 returns probabilities and bills zero output tokensblog.googleReported
  5. 05A Gemini Decision 1 yes/no question returns a probability between 0.01 and 0.99 plus a confidence scoreblog.googleVerified
  6. 06Google caps Gemini Decision 1 yes/no probabilities at 0.99blog.googleReported
  7. 07DataCamp reports that Google claims Gemini Decision 1 has the lowest calibration error in Google's own comparison, ahead of TypeSafe's Jevdatacamp.comReported
  8. 08Google charges $0.10 per million input tokens for Gemini Decision 1blog.googleVerified
  9. 09Gemini 4 Hydrogen costs $1.50 per million input tokensblog.googleVerified
  10. 10Gemini 4 Hydrogen costs $7.50 per million output tokensblog.googleVerified
  11. 11The evidence is one shared input that, together with all questions, can total up to 262,144 tokens, mixing text, images, audio, video and PDFs.blog.googleReported
  12. 12A Gemini Decision 1 single-select question weighs 2 to 255 options and returns the top pick with a probability for each optiontalkingfingers.netVerified
  13. 13A Gemini Decision 1 rubric question rates 2 to 255 ordered levels and returns a probability-weighted expected scoreblog.googleReported
  14. 14DataCamp says that Google reports 150 to 250 milliseconds end to end.datacamp.comReported
  15. 15Google is reportedly at least the fourth vendor to sell it as a product.seekerslab.comReported
  16. 16Gemini Decision 1's evidence input can mix text, images, audio, video and PDFsgigazine.netVerified
  17. 17Google's Gemini Decision 1 quickstart runs the model on the customer message 'The blue mug I ordered on Monday arrived cracked on Wednesday.'siliconangle.comVerified
  18. 18Google's Gemini Decision 1 quickstart asks two questions in one call: a yes/no on whether the item arrived damaged and a choice question on which support queue should take itblog.googleVerified
  19. 19Step two: write your questions as typed questions in Google's Decisions API.blog.googleCorrected
  20. 20VentureBeat reports that TypeSafe's early-access Jev offers a cheaper way to make AI decisions, OpenAI's Decisions API runs on GPT-6 Luna and Amazon's Strands Decider lets developers host the model themselves.venturebeat.comReported
  21. 21VentureBeat reports that OpenAI's Decisions API runs on GPT-6 LunaReported
  22. 22VentureBeat reports that Amazon's Strands Decider lets developers host the model themselvesventurebeat.comReported
  23. 23The Decoder reports Google already uses the Decisions API for model routing in Gemini Notebookthe-decoder.comVerified
  24. 24The Decoder reports Google uses the Decisions API for design prototyping in Stitchthe-decoder.comReported
  25. 25Gemini 4 Hydrogen output tokens cost 5x its input tokens ($7.50 vs $1.50 per million)Koda calculationOur math
  26. 26Triaging 10,000 tickets a day at 500 tokens each is 5 million input tokens, costing $0.50 a day on Gemini Decision 1Koda calculationOur math
  27. 27The same 10,000 daily tickets through Gemini 4 Hydrogen cost $7.50 for input (5 × $1.50)Koda calculationOur math
  28. 28A 200-token answer for each of 10,000 tickets adds 2 million output tokens at $7.50 per million, or $15 on Gemini 4 HydrogenKoda calculationOur math
  29. 29Gemini 4 Hydrogen costs $22.50 a day versus $0.50 on Gemini Decision 1 for the 10,000-ticket scenario, a 45x gapKoda calculationOur math
  30. 30Twenty policy checks sent as twenty separate calls on 10,000 daily tickets read 100 million tokens a dayKoda calculationOur math
  31. 31Batching twenty policy checks into one call reads each of 10,000 tickets once, for 5 million tokens a dayKoda calculationOur math
  32. 32On Gemini Decision 1, twenty separate policy-check calls cost $10 a day versus $0.50 batchedKoda calculationOur math
  33. 33Example threshold rule: auto-route above 0.95, send 0.70 to 0.95 to a person, ask the customer for a photo below 0.70Koda calculationOur math
  34. 3410 routing calls of 1,000 tokens per task across a million tasks a month is 10 billion tokens, costing $1,000 a month on Gemini Decision 1Koda calculationOur math
  35. 3510 billion tokens a month at Gemini 4 Hydrogen's input price costs $15,000 before any output tokensKoda calculationOur math
  36. 36A Gemini Decision 1 verdict on a 500-token ticket costs $0.00005Koda calculationOur math
  37. 37200 tickets at 500 tokens each is 100,000 tokens, costing about one cent on Gemini Decision 1Koda calculationOur math
  38. 38Example: if the 0.90 probability band is right only 75% of the time, raise thresholdsKoda calculationOur math

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